Fab Tool Sales Decline for 4th Straight Month

发布时间:2017-11-29 00:00
作者:Ameya360
来源:Dylan McGrath
阅读量:916

  Sales of semiconductor manufacturing equipment declined on a sequential basis for the fourth straight month in October, but remained well ahead of last year's pace, according to the SEMI trade association.

  The three-month average of billings for North American semiconductor tool manufacturers slid to $2.02 billion in October, down 1.8 percent compared with September, SEMI said. However, billings were 23.7 percent the October 2016 figure, SEMI said.

  The equipment market is on pace for a record year with sales of greater than $50 billion. SEMI said in July it expects sales to be up nearly 20 percent this year, but growth since then has pushed the number higher. The trade group has previously predicted that the market would grow another 8 percent in 2018.

  “In spite of this seasonal weakness, we expect equipment spending to increase by 30 percent or more this year and are positive about growth in 2018," said Ajit Manocha, SEMI president and CEO, in statement.

  Meanwhile, the Japan Semiconductor Equipment Association (SEAJ) reported that the three-month average of billings for Japan-based semiconductor tool vendors was $1.55 billion in October, down 2.8 percent from September but up 18.3 percent compared to October 2016.

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 After what is expected to be a second-straight record sales year in 2018, the semiconductor equipment market is projected to decline by 4% next year before recovering to grow by more than 20% in 2020, according to the SEMI trade group.In its year-end forecast, released on Wednesday (Dec. 12) at the Semicon Japan trade show, SEMI estimated that fab tool sales will grow 9.7% this year to reach a record $62.1 billion. The forecast is consistent with other forecasts released earlier this year, despite slowing sales growth in recent months.But the forecast calls for tool sales to decline to $56.6 billion next year before rebounding to grow 20.7% in 2020, reaching a new record high of $71.9 billion.SEMI projects that the market for wafer processing equipment — the largest category of semiconductor production equipment — will grow 10.2% this year to reach $50.2 billion. The chip test equipment market is expected to grow by 15.6% this year to reach $5.4 billion, while the assembly and packaging equipment market is forecast to grow 1.9% to reach $4 billion, said SEMI.Semiconductor equipment market in billions of U.S. dollars. (Source: SEMI)South Korea — paced by continued record spending by Samsung Electronics — is expected to remain the largest regional market for fab tools for a second-straight year in 2018. China is expected to leapfrog Taiwan in 2018 to become the second-largest market for chip equipment, growing at a rate of 55.7%, said SEMI.For 2019, SEMI projects that South Korea, China, and Taiwan will remain the top three markets for chip equipment.
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Fab Tool Sales Slip to $15.8 Billion in Q3
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Spending on semiconductor capital equipment is on pace to set a new all-time high for the third consecutive year, led by strong sales in South Korea and China, according to the latest forecast by the SEMI trade association.The latest SEMI forecast calls for spending to rise 14 percent this year, reaching nearly $65 billion. Spending is forecast to rise an additional 9 percent next year to top $70 billion for the first time, SEMI said. The last time semiconductor equipment spending rose for four consecutive years was the mid 1990s.South Korea is expected to remain the top region for chip equipment spending in 2018. While Samsung Electronics is expected to reduce its equipment spending from its 2017 level of about $18 billion, Samsung is still expected to account for about 70 percent of the equipment spending in South Korea this year, according to SEMI. SK Hynix is expected to increase its equipment spending in South Korea this year, SEMI said.Meanwhile, China — which is expected to be the top region for semiconductor equipment sales beginning next year — continues its dramatic rise in fab tool spending. Equipment spending in China is expected to increase by 65 percent this year and by an additional 57 percent in 2019, SEMI said.SEMI noted that more than half of the semiconductor equipment spending in China in 2018 and in 2019 is expected to come from non-Chinese companies including Intel, SK Hynix, TSMC, Samsung and Globalfoundries. Domestic Chinese companies — backed by large government initiatives — are building a considerable number of fabs that are starting to equip this year and next year, according to SEMI. These companies are expected to double their equipment investments in 2018 and again in 2019, SEMI said.The trade group said other regions are also ramping up investment in semiconductor equipment, including a projected 60 percent increase in spending in Japan this year. Spending in Europe and the Mideast is expected to increase by about 12 percent, SEMI said, while growth in Southeast Asia is expected to be about 30 percent.
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